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Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Baker Commission likely to propose four options for Iraq.

Well placed sources are suggesting that the Baker Commission on Iraq will propose four options for Iraq: 1) Get out fast, but the risk is that Iran will step in to fill the void; 2) surge forward, by increasing troop strength - a move that should have taken place years ago but was rejected by "Rummy" and which may now be too late -, but it is opposed by Democrats and may curtail the ability of Iraqis to take over themselves; 3) train and retreat, which makes it possible to train Iraqi military and "push them out the door", as described by a top Baker Commission source, to take over their country from the U. S. (a face saving gesture); and, 4) dig in and hope for the best, which is self-explanatory. Which option Congress will accept and Bush will execute remains to be seen. What is clear is that the Bush administration is likely to continue to seek regional solutions to the crisis, as demonstrated by Bush's visit to Jordan and my analysis of Bob Gates' actions posted here below.

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