CHANCES UP FOR INDY PREZ
3rd Party Presidential candidates are not supposed to have a prayer, unless one or both the major party candidates is stumbling. That's what happened in 1980 with Jimmy Carter and John Anderson, and then in 1992 with Perot against Bush and Clinton. Had Perot not gone bonkers, he was actually in a position the Spring of that year to have a real shot at the White House.
Now, with something else you are not supposed to see in politics anymore coming up, a contested convention, the battered Democrat nominee may leave enough blood in the water to attract a quality independent candidate.
Earlier this year, when GOP fortunes were at a low ebb, talk was the weak Republican nominee might set up a Mike Bloomberg candidacy. That was always kind of iffy, because to capitalize on a possible GOP dissappointment, one needed a candidate who could pull conservative votes, not just be an echo of the Democrat.
Now with likely Democrat nominee Obama probably coming out of Denver a deadman walking, the case for Mayor Bloomberg makes a lot more sense. He starts with all those liberal/moderate voters who want a winner, any winner not with an "R" next to his name, then cuts into the soft support of McCain who is cleaning up with people who may not love him, but are appalled by Obama or Hillary.
Whether such a campaign could actually take the presidency is unlikely, but it may possibly win some electoral votes and will sure play havoc with the lefty side of US politics.
Money is no object to a Bloomberg candidacy, but filing deadlines may be, and there may not be enough time to get on the ballot after the train wreck a-coming in Denver. In that case, thank goodness for old Ralph Nader. I wonder just how well he will do if Obama's campaign is as big a dud as it presently appears?
Now, with something else you are not supposed to see in politics anymore coming up, a contested convention, the battered Democrat nominee may leave enough blood in the water to attract a quality independent candidate.
Earlier this year, when GOP fortunes were at a low ebb, talk was the weak Republican nominee might set up a Mike Bloomberg candidacy. That was always kind of iffy, because to capitalize on a possible GOP dissappointment, one needed a candidate who could pull conservative votes, not just be an echo of the Democrat.
Now with likely Democrat nominee Obama probably coming out of Denver a deadman walking, the case for Mayor Bloomberg makes a lot more sense. He starts with all those liberal/moderate voters who want a winner, any winner not with an "R" next to his name, then cuts into the soft support of McCain who is cleaning up with people who may not love him, but are appalled by Obama or Hillary.
Whether such a campaign could actually take the presidency is unlikely, but it may possibly win some electoral votes and will sure play havoc with the lefty side of US politics.
Money is no object to a Bloomberg candidacy, but filing deadlines may be, and there may not be enough time to get on the ballot after the train wreck a-coming in Denver. In that case, thank goodness for old Ralph Nader. I wonder just how well he will do if Obama's campaign is as big a dud as it presently appears?
posted by frank friday at 4:41 PM
2 Comments:
Now that would be something! An indy in the Oval Office! Oh the possibilities!!
As far as a Bloomberg presidential campaign goes, he is looking more and more like Fred Thompson. As one who helped urge FT to run, that's another shattered hope in the making!
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