**** AP Poll numbers portend Republican mid-term elections disasters. ****
The Associated Press, AP, is reporting on the results of its latest polls which show that Americans are itching to vote and give Democrats mid-term elections euphoria.
Read the story here.
Here are excerpts:
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Republicans are in jeopardy of losing their grip on Congress in November. With less than four months to the midterm elections, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll (of adults had a margin of error of 3 percentage points and the survey of registered voters had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points) found that Americans by an almost 3-to-1 margin hold the GOP-controlled Congress in low regard and profess a desire to see Democrats wrest control after a dozen years of Republican rule.
Further complicating the GOP outlook to turn things around is a solid percentage of liberals, moderates and even conservatives who say they'll vote Democratic. The party out of power also holds the edge among persuadable voters, a prospect that doesn't bode well for the Republicans.
... The AP-Ipsos survey asked 789 registered voters if the election for the House were held today, would they vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in their district. Democrats were favored 51 percent to 40 percent. ...
One bright spot for the GOP is that Republicans hold an advantage over Democrats on issues such as foreign policy and fighting terrorism - 43 percent to 33 percent - and a smaller edge on handling Iraq - 36 percent to 32 percent.
As many of you know, I'm NOT a big fan of polls. I understand very well how polls can be used by miscreants to manipulate and change public opinion towards a favored position, person or group. I am particularly skeptical of these "self-serving" polls, and disdain them. However, there are polls that just attempt to guage public opinion, without influencing it, and this AP poll appears to be one of them.
So what does the AP poll REALLY tell us? It is this: (1) that Republicans are in danger of losing control of Congress IF, and ONLY IF (a big IF, mind you), the Democrats can get their act together and nationalize the elections; and (2) that Republicans can keep their control of Congress, if (and this is a small if) they make foreign policy and fighting terrorism the issues. Need I say more?
Read the story here.
Here are excerpts:
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Republicans are in jeopardy of losing their grip on Congress in November. With less than four months to the midterm elections, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll (of adults had a margin of error of 3 percentage points and the survey of registered voters had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points) found that Americans by an almost 3-to-1 margin hold the GOP-controlled Congress in low regard and profess a desire to see Democrats wrest control after a dozen years of Republican rule.
Further complicating the GOP outlook to turn things around is a solid percentage of liberals, moderates and even conservatives who say they'll vote Democratic. The party out of power also holds the edge among persuadable voters, a prospect that doesn't bode well for the Republicans.
... The AP-Ipsos survey asked 789 registered voters if the election for the House were held today, would they vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in their district. Democrats were favored 51 percent to 40 percent. ...
One bright spot for the GOP is that Republicans hold an advantage over Democrats on issues such as foreign policy and fighting terrorism - 43 percent to 33 percent - and a smaller edge on handling Iraq - 36 percent to 32 percent.
As many of you know, I'm NOT a big fan of polls. I understand very well how polls can be used by miscreants to manipulate and change public opinion towards a favored position, person or group. I am particularly skeptical of these "self-serving" polls, and disdain them. However, there are polls that just attempt to guage public opinion, without influencing it, and this AP poll appears to be one of them.
So what does the AP poll REALLY tell us? It is this: (1) that Republicans are in danger of losing control of Congress IF, and ONLY IF (a big IF, mind you), the Democrats can get their act together and nationalize the elections; and (2) that Republicans can keep their control of Congress, if (and this is a small if) they make foreign policy and fighting terrorism the issues. Need I say more?
Labels: Politics, Republicanism
posted by KYJurisDoctor at 9:23 AM
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