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Monday, November 27, 2006

Lessons from 2006 national elections.

I ran into this excellent piece from USATODAY's Susan Page on the five (5) lessons discerned from the recent elections and I thought I'd share it with you. Here are the 5 lessons excerpted here:1) The center did not hold. In 1994, "the angry white men" gave Republicans a win. In 2006, "Republican rejectors", comprising about 15% of the electorate and "the least ideologican and partisan", gave the nod to Democrats. 2) Reaching out is hard to do. According to Ken Mehlman, outgoing Chairman of the RNC, "Republicans rel[ied] too much on white guys for our voters." This pretty much sums up this lesson. 3) It's not your father's US. This lesson suggests a shifting political geographical climate. "Democrats consolidated their hold on the Northeast so firmly that it now provides a greater building block for the Democrats than the South provides for the GOP," says Rhodes Cook, a non-partisan analyst who studies voting trends. This suggests also that Democrats may now be able to whistle past Dixie on their way to the White House. 4) "It's NOT the economy, stupid". This election was not about the robust economy. "Particularly in the nation's heartland, anxiety about slow-rising wages, outsourced jobs, imperiled pensions and the rising costs of health care and college tuition overwhelmed relatively good economic news on corporate earnings, productivity and employment." And, 5) Voters wanted change ... any change. Though 2006 voters voted for change, it was not clear what change. "There's a large turn against where we've been and no clarity about where we're going," says Robert Borosage of Campaign for America's Future. "Democrats basically ran as ... 'We're not them,' " says Rhodes Cook, editor of The Rhodes Cook Letter.
What's clear to me? the none-of-the-above category is the political force to be watched in 2008 and beyond, as Democratic voters are on the decline, Republicans stagnant and the ranks of independents swelling as we speak. So stay tuned. 2008 will be exciting in the political world as both parties learn to adjust to a new political reality.

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3 Comments:

Blogger Johnathan Gay said...

I agree with most of this... though I still think economic unease is A factor... though not THE factor.

PS- When you have a chance, I wrote on a topic that I think would interest you. I talked about the Congressional Black Caucus's upcoming powerhouse Congress and compared their challenges in holding power to the challenges faced by Appalachian folks.

I'd really appreciate it if you'd take a look and let me know what you think.

PPS- This pet owner's definitely bullish on McCain!

Keep up the good work.

Cyberhillbilly

4:15 PM  
Blogger KYJurisDoctor said...

Thanks. I'll love to read it. Keep up the good work, too.

5:13 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I do not know whether your prediction that "the none-of-the-above category is the political force to be watched in 2008 and beyond", but I believe it should be.

Given widely expressed dissatisfaction with "lesser evil" and "one choice" elections as well as with increasingly negative campaigns, many voters wish to withhold their consent in elections to office by voting for "None of the Above" (NOTA), just as they can on ballot questions by voting NO.

It certainly makes sense: In a democracy, government must obtain the consent of the governed, and all legitimate consent requires the ability to withhold consent. Any state can enact a Voter Consent law giving voters a binding NOTA ballot option after each candidate list, which calls a new election, with new candidates, to fill the office should NOTA win. A model Voter Consent law is available at www.nota.org/notabill.htm

While NOTA by-elections are an expense, they would not occur unless voters vote to hold them, and are likely less costly than electing unacceptable candidates to office. Even candidates running unopposed would have to obtain voter consent to be elected.

NOTA based Voter Consent laws are a common sense, much needed improvement in governing ourselves, returning some power to "We the People", from whom our constitution draws its legitimacy, and taking some power from political parties and corporations, whom our constitution never mentions.


Sincerely,
William H. White
92 Barons Way
Brewster, MA 02631
508-896-4878

Director, Voters for None of the Above
www.nota.org

3:11 PM  

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