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Sunday, February 18, 2007

C-J/Bluegrass poll on Gov.'s race is out, but how reliable is it?

The results of the C-J/Bluegrass poll on the Governor's race is out. Here is Joe Gerth's analysis, of it, the name recognition/favorability poll results and the Gov.'s approval rating, for what it's worth. In my view, the SurveyUSA poll is much more accurate and will most likely be out sometime this month.

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Blogger Cyberhillbilly said...


I was a bit perplexed by this:

The latest poll found that 47 percent of all those surveyed approve of the job he is doing.

But 49 percent of registered voters who recognized his name have an unfavorable opinion of him.

[Meanwhile,] Thirty percent said they view him favorably.

It seems paradoxical that while only 30% view him favorably, 47% approve of the job he's doing. I think the flaw in this poll is that they sampled registered voters rather than likely or definite voters. The man on the street interview of the guy from Harlan was hillarious, and, perhaps, indicative of the sample. He had no idea the Governor had been indicted or that any of this aids had been indicted, that there had been a pardon scandal, or that the Governor worked out a dismissal agreement with the Attorney General wherein he admitted some fault.

Obviously that guy wasn't reading the papers. I wonder how widespread that was in this sample?

Nonetheless, I'm not sure how the Fletcher folks can take much heart in it.

7:09 PM  
Blogger KYJurisDoctor said...

Johnathan, I'm not sure how ANYONE can take much heart in the BLUEGRASS survey. I believe the SURVEYUSA poll is more accurate, to within a couple or so percentage points either way. That's my view, for whatever it's worth.

7:19 PM  

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