Last SURVEYUSA poll out, Fletcher and Beshear still lead.

The new SURVEYUSA poll is out. It has the poll numbers largely unchanged (except that Harper's "squabbling candidates" ad -- EASILY the BEST ad of the political season -- gained him a few positive BUMP in percentage points). For the Republicans, it's Fletcher in the lead at 44%, Northup at 34% and Harper at 17%, with 5% still undecided -- who are these undecided folks, anyway?

For the Democrats, it's Beshear at 32% (his internal poll shows 35%) trying to get a few more points in other to avoid a runoff with Lunsford (23%), or Henry (17%) or Richard (12%) or Galbraith and Hemsley (7% and 1%, respectively), with 6% undecideds -- ditto.

It looks like my continual predictions discounting the possibility of Republicans having a runoff, while Democrats will, is going to stand.

With Fletcher surpassing the 40% threshold, the Republicans will ASSUREDEDLY avoid a runoff, though the eventual winner will be decided by a combination of how the undecideds vote tomorrow (or decide to stay home) and how this weekend's GOTV efforts by the candidates sway their opponent's supporters to switch votes. Ditto on undecideds and GOTV efforts for Democrats as well, as Beshear strains to avoid a runoff.