Mitt Romney Leads Sarah Palin Among Possible GOP Contenders.
Poll: Romney No. 1 for GOP presidential nod, Palin No. 2
By Margaret Talev
WASHINGTON — Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the early front-runner among potential Republican candidates for president in 2012, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.
While former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin commands the national spotlight, turning out tea party activists and headlining rallies, for now it's Romney who claims the lead at 25 percent, months before an official field takes shape. Palin, GOP nominee John McCain's 2008 running mate, took second with 18 percent.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee tied for third place with 16 percent. Finishing out the pack were Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty with 6 percent, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels with 4 percent and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour with 2 percent.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the early frontrunner among potential Republican candidates for president in 2012, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.
While former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin commands the national spotlight, turning out "tea party" activists and headlining rallies, for now it's Romney who claims the lead at 25 percent, months before an official field takes shape. Palin, GOP nominee John McCain's 2008 running mate, took second with 18 percent.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee tied for third place with 16 percent. Finishing out the pack were Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty with 6 percent, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels with 4 percent and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour with 2 percent.
Indiana Rep. Mike Pence was the top choice for a 2012 presidential candidate among conservative activists who attended this weekend's Values Voter Summit in Washington, edging a field of more well-known Republican figures in an early test of grass-roots support.
Pence, chairman of the House Republican Conference, received 24 percent of the vote, edging the winner of the 2009 straw poll, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who received 22 percent. Each addressed the gathering on Friday, as did third-place finisher Mitt Romney, who won 13 percent of the vote.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who spoke Saturday, received 10 percent. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who did not attend, finished a distant fifth, with just 7 percent.
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Gingrich to test 2012 waters in S.C.
Gingrich to test 2012 waters in S.C.
The 2012 presidential race is under way in South Carolina.
Former U.S. Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich visits Columbia and Charleston today for a pair of fundraisers — his second visit to the state since the spring.
Other potential Republican presidential contenders have also made S.C. visits recently including Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former Alaska governor and 2008 vice president pick Sarah Palin, former Massachusetts governor and 2008 presidential contender Mitt Romney and former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum.
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Pence is tops in conservatives' straw vote
Pence is tops in conservatives' straw vote
A straw vote suggests that social conservatives favor Indiana Rep. Mike Pence to head a Republican presidential ticket with former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin in 2012.
About 723 out of more than 2,000 registered attendees cast ballots Saturday at the annual Values Voter Summit. Pence was the top choice for president with 24 percent of the vote.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, received 22 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Palin.
The survey asked 369 Republicans or Republican-leaning independents whom they favor among seven potential primary candidates.
Palin, Gingrich and Huckabee could be canceling out some of one another's support, Miringoff said, especially among Southern and conservative voters. Combined, they count a greater share of support than Romney does. It's also so early that name recognition is driving much of the findings.
"It is not unusual for someone at this point in the presidential election cycle to be an asterisk but emerge" months later, he said. Romney withdrew from his party's nominating contest four years ago after losing key early states and began laying the groundwork for a 2012 campaign.
Nevertheless, Miringoff said, "The fact Romney's doing this well and Palin is not dominating are both very interesting."
Voters who call themselves conservative preferred Romney to Palin. So did self-described supporters of the tea party movement; 25 percent preferred Romney and 19 percent Palin.
The poll found Romney's strongest appeal among college graduates and voters in Western states, while Palin did better with voters who don't have college degrees, voters younger than 30 and voters from the South. Both did well with voters from the Northeast.
Palin's weakest demographic in the primary preference poll — and Romney's strongest — was independent women. Just 11 percent of independent women favored Palin; 33 percent favored Romney.
Regionally, Romney was weakest in the South, a problem that's lingered since 2008. For now, 15 percent of southern Republicans and Republican-leaning independents favor Romney while 21 percent prefer Palin, and Gingrich and Huckabee each have 19 percent support.
Non-college grads slightly favored Palin, with Romney close behind. College grads voiced a clear preference for Romney — 29 percent — followed by Gingrich at 21 percent. In a potentially ominous sign for Palin, just 11 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with college degrees preferred her.
METHODOLOGY:
This survey of 815 registered voters, including 369 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, was conducted last Tuesday through Thursday. The results are statistically significant at plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and plus or minus 5 percentage points, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. Residents 18 and older were interviewed by telephone. Phone numbers were selected based on a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples then were combined.
Read more: http://www.kentucky.com/2010/09/21/1444837/poll-romney-no-1-for-gop-presidential.html#ixzz10D6FTIwy
By Margaret Talev
WASHINGTON — Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the early front-runner among potential Republican candidates for president in 2012, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.
While former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin commands the national spotlight, turning out tea party activists and headlining rallies, for now it's Romney who claims the lead at 25 percent, months before an official field takes shape. Palin, GOP nominee John McCain's 2008 running mate, took second with 18 percent.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee tied for third place with 16 percent. Finishing out the pack were Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty with 6 percent, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels with 4 percent and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour with 2 percent.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the early frontrunner among potential Republican candidates for president in 2012, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.
While former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin commands the national spotlight, turning out "tea party" activists and headlining rallies, for now it's Romney who claims the lead at 25 percent, months before an official field takes shape. Palin, GOP nominee John McCain's 2008 running mate, took second with 18 percent.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee tied for third place with 16 percent. Finishing out the pack were Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty with 6 percent, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels with 4 percent and Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour with 2 percent.
Indiana Rep. Mike Pence was the top choice for a 2012 presidential candidate among conservative activists who attended this weekend's Values Voter Summit in Washington, edging a field of more well-known Republican figures in an early test of grass-roots support.
Pence, chairman of the House Republican Conference, received 24 percent of the vote, edging the winner of the 2009 straw poll, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who received 22 percent. Each addressed the gathering on Friday, as did third-place finisher Mitt Romney, who won 13 percent of the vote.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who spoke Saturday, received 10 percent. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who did not attend, finished a distant fifth, with just 7 percent.
*
Gingrich to test 2012 waters in S.C.
Gingrich to test 2012 waters in S.C.
The 2012 presidential race is under way in South Carolina.
Former U.S. Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich visits Columbia and Charleston today for a pair of fundraisers — his second visit to the state since the spring.
Other potential Republican presidential contenders have also made S.C. visits recently including Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former Alaska governor and 2008 vice president pick Sarah Palin, former Massachusetts governor and 2008 presidential contender Mitt Romney and former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum.
*
Pence is tops in conservatives' straw vote
Pence is tops in conservatives' straw vote
A straw vote suggests that social conservatives favor Indiana Rep. Mike Pence to head a Republican presidential ticket with former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin in 2012.
About 723 out of more than 2,000 registered attendees cast ballots Saturday at the annual Values Voter Summit. Pence was the top choice for president with 24 percent of the vote.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, received 22 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Palin.
The survey asked 369 Republicans or Republican-leaning independents whom they favor among seven potential primary candidates.
Palin, Gingrich and Huckabee could be canceling out some of one another's support, Miringoff said, especially among Southern and conservative voters. Combined, they count a greater share of support than Romney does. It's also so early that name recognition is driving much of the findings.
"It is not unusual for someone at this point in the presidential election cycle to be an asterisk but emerge" months later, he said. Romney withdrew from his party's nominating contest four years ago after losing key early states and began laying the groundwork for a 2012 campaign.
Nevertheless, Miringoff said, "The fact Romney's doing this well and Palin is not dominating are both very interesting."
Voters who call themselves conservative preferred Romney to Palin. So did self-described supporters of the tea party movement; 25 percent preferred Romney and 19 percent Palin.
The poll found Romney's strongest appeal among college graduates and voters in Western states, while Palin did better with voters who don't have college degrees, voters younger than 30 and voters from the South. Both did well with voters from the Northeast.
Palin's weakest demographic in the primary preference poll — and Romney's strongest — was independent women. Just 11 percent of independent women favored Palin; 33 percent favored Romney.
Regionally, Romney was weakest in the South, a problem that's lingered since 2008. For now, 15 percent of southern Republicans and Republican-leaning independents favor Romney while 21 percent prefer Palin, and Gingrich and Huckabee each have 19 percent support.
Non-college grads slightly favored Palin, with Romney close behind. College grads voiced a clear preference for Romney — 29 percent — followed by Gingrich at 21 percent. In a potentially ominous sign for Palin, just 11 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with college degrees preferred her.
METHODOLOGY:
This survey of 815 registered voters, including 369 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, was conducted last Tuesday through Thursday. The results are statistically significant at plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and plus or minus 5 percentage points, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. Residents 18 and older were interviewed by telephone. Phone numbers were selected based on a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples then were combined.
Read more: http://www.kentucky.com/2010/09/21/1444837/poll-romney-no-1-for-gop-presidential.html#ixzz10D6FTIwy
Labels: Polling
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