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Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Trusted And Accurate SURVEYUSA Poll Has David Williams/Richie Farmer Leading The Field Of Three By Nearly 50%. Is It O-V-E-R?


Follow the poll results here.

Among SurveyUSA polling conclusions:

1 MO to KY Gov Primary, Williams-Farmer Atop GOP Field, But Incumbent Democrat Beshear Holds Statehouse Against Any Challenger:

The Republican ticket of David Williams and Richie Farmer dominates two other Republican tickets in the race for the GOP nomination for Governor of Kentucky and the right to face incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear in November, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for the Courier-Journal newspaper and WHAS-TV in Louisville. But, the Democratic ticket of Beshear and Jerry Abramson defeats all 3 Republican tickets in hypothetical head-to-head matchups today, receiving more than 50% of the vote no matter the Republican nominee.

In the 05/17/11 Republican Primary, Williams-Farmer gets 49% today, the ticket of Phil Moffett and Mike Harmon gets 14%, and the ticket of Bobbie Holsclaw and Bill Vermillion gets 12%. Williams-Farmer is weak nowhere, but uniquely strong in Eastern KY, where the ticket gets 65% of the Republican primary vote. Holsclaw-Vermillion is strong in greater Louisville. Moffett-Harmon is strong in North Central KY. Williams-Farmer runs well with Tea Party supporters and gun owners. A quarter of likely GOP Primary voters are undecided. Where the undecided voters go will influence the final primary outcome.

When a larger group of likely November general election voters is asked today about hypothetical match-ups for Governor, the Democratic ticket of Beshear-Abramson defeats all comers:

* Against Republicans Williams-Farmer, Beshear-Abramson wins 51% to 39%.
* Against Republicans Moffett-Harmon, Beshear-Abramson wins 54% to 34%.
* Against Republicans Holsclaw-Vermillion, Beshear-Abramson wins 53% to 34%.

Editor's comment: while SURVEYUSA has proven very reliable in its polls, its pairing of fall elections between Steve Beshear and David Williams is FLAWED because the polling completely disregards Gatewood Galbraith, the independent candidate, as if he doesn't exist. Therefore, the poll's conclusions regarding the fall General elections MUST be disregarded -- at this time, UNLESS Gatewood FAILS to gather the necessary signatures to place his name on the ballot.

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