CN/2's Latest Polling Of "Likely Voters" For Kentucky Statewide Races Shows A Democratic Sweep, But I'll Wait To Read What SURVEYUSA Polling Shows.
Beshear and other Democrats still lead as numbers barely move from Aug., cn|2 Poll shows
by Ryan Alessi
The statewide races remain roughly where they were a month and a half ago, according to the latest cn|2 Poll, with Democratic candidates holding advantages in each race.
Gov. Steve Beshear and running mate Jerry Abramson maintain a 28-point lead over the Republican ticket of David Williams and Richie Farmer, 54 percent to 26 percent, according to the cn|2 Poll taken Oct. 17-19. The independent ticket of Gatewood Galbraith and Dea Riley received 8 percent of respondents’ support, while 12 percent were undecided.
That is nearly identical to the results of the last cn|2 poll taken the last week of August. Each of the tickets picked up less than a point since then, even though this latest poll only surveyed voters who said they were “very likely” to vote on Nov. 8.
The polling from the other races also revealed few differences from a month and a half ago. The minimal change in the races underscores the lack of voter enthusiasm that has led many political analysts, including Secretary of State Elaine Walker, to predict low turnout on Nov. 8.
Only three candidates improved by more than 4 points between the Aug. 28-30 cn|2 Poll and this week’s: Democratic candidate for auditor Adam Edelen jumped 7 points, and Democratic candidate for secretary of state Alison Lundergan Grimes and incumbent Democratic Treasurer Todd Hollenbach both picked up 4 points from their levels of support in August. However, none of the three were polling above 50 percent.
Even though the election is less than three weeks away, the only candidates who have been consistently advertising over the last week have been Beshear, Edelen and Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway.
Braun Research Inc. conducted the cn|2 Poll between Oct. 17 and Oct 19. Live interviewers from Braun surveyed 802 Kentuckians who voted in the 2007 general election or the 2010 general election or both and who said they were “very likely” to vote Nov. 8. Click here to download the crosstabs: Oct 20 poll crosstabs.pdf
The poll has a margin of error of about 3.5 points.
To continue to read more of the story, including particulars on each race, go here.
Check out the poll's cross tabs here.
Editor's note: Some commenter on the site had this to say about the cross tabs:
"The cross tabs look a little democrat heavy… 60% democrat and 35% republican. That isn’t typical in Kentucky races anymore. The 2007 general election had 40% democrat, 36% republican and 22% other. Doesn’t really seem accurate."
So, my question to you all out there is: what do you think?
by Ryan Alessi
The statewide races remain roughly where they were a month and a half ago, according to the latest cn|2 Poll, with Democratic candidates holding advantages in each race.
Gov. Steve Beshear and running mate Jerry Abramson maintain a 28-point lead over the Republican ticket of David Williams and Richie Farmer, 54 percent to 26 percent, according to the cn|2 Poll taken Oct. 17-19. The independent ticket of Gatewood Galbraith and Dea Riley received 8 percent of respondents’ support, while 12 percent were undecided.
That is nearly identical to the results of the last cn|2 poll taken the last week of August. Each of the tickets picked up less than a point since then, even though this latest poll only surveyed voters who said they were “very likely” to vote on Nov. 8.
The polling from the other races also revealed few differences from a month and a half ago. The minimal change in the races underscores the lack of voter enthusiasm that has led many political analysts, including Secretary of State Elaine Walker, to predict low turnout on Nov. 8.
Only three candidates improved by more than 4 points between the Aug. 28-30 cn|2 Poll and this week’s: Democratic candidate for auditor Adam Edelen jumped 7 points, and Democratic candidate for secretary of state Alison Lundergan Grimes and incumbent Democratic Treasurer Todd Hollenbach both picked up 4 points from their levels of support in August. However, none of the three were polling above 50 percent.
Even though the election is less than three weeks away, the only candidates who have been consistently advertising over the last week have been Beshear, Edelen and Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway.
Braun Research Inc. conducted the cn|2 Poll between Oct. 17 and Oct 19. Live interviewers from Braun surveyed 802 Kentuckians who voted in the 2007 general election or the 2010 general election or both and who said they were “very likely” to vote Nov. 8. Click here to download the crosstabs: Oct 20 poll crosstabs.pdf
The poll has a margin of error of about 3.5 points.
To continue to read more of the story, including particulars on each race, go here.
Check out the poll's cross tabs here.
Editor's note: Some commenter on the site had this to say about the cross tabs:
"The cross tabs look a little democrat heavy… 60% democrat and 35% republican. That isn’t typical in Kentucky races anymore. The 2007 general election had 40% democrat, 36% republican and 22% other. Doesn’t really seem accurate."
So, my question to you all out there is: what do you think?
Labels: Polling
posted by KYJurisDoctor at 2:25 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home