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Wednesday, February 21, 2007

SURVEYUSA poll is out. So how did Fletcher fare?

A few days ago, I posted the results of the Bluegrass poll on Gov. Fletcher's approval rating and I questioned its reliability. I suggested we wait for the more reliable and accurate SURVEYUSA poll to tell us better what we need to know. Here's a link to that post. Well, today the long awaited poll came out and here's the Gov.'s approval rating, graphically and raw data. So what does it all mean. Well, the Gov. improved in his rating; he went from 31% to 36%, a 5% POSITIVE jump -- the first in a long time. He did so by having 1% of those who previously disapproved of his job performance to now approve it, and by having 3% of previously undecideds now giving their approvals. His approval ratings also improved significantly in Western Kentucky (from 28% to 40%), Eastern (39% to 44%), Louisville (26% to 32%) and stayed nearly the same in North Central (34% to 33%). His popularity ratings were mixed amongst various groups, though significantly Blacks disapprove of him more than any other group (18%). The more POSITIVE news for the Gov. is how he fared amongst those who are Republicans and Conservatives. This IMPORTANT group of possible Primary voters gave him a 50% approval rating -- up from 44% and 46% respectively. The moderates and the Independents (even if one discounts the Liberals), who a Republican candidate will need to win in November are, for now, still highly disapproving. Stay tuned, as I will continue to analyze SURVEYUSA poll results as they come out every month between now and the primary election in May.

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