NKY Republicans select Webb-Edgington to run for Draud's seat, but can a fractured Republican party win it?

It should be clear that Northern Kentucky Republicans -- or should I call them Fletcherites -- won out and selected former Homeland Security Director, Alecia Webb-Edgington, to run to replace Jon Draud, who is the new Education Commissioner, even though she made a last minute (late October) "switcheroo" to save her job, by having her husband make a poltical contribution to Steve Beshear -- she must have played it safe, knowing that Ernie Fletcher would NOT find out until it was too late and he was defeated.

It should also surprise NO one that the selection was fractured enough that some Republicans will do to her, what was done to Fletcher -- stay home or vote for the other guy.

With that in mind, and keeping also in mind that Governor Steve Beshear carried the district, can Republicans hold that seat?

You do the math with the facts -- and employ non-partisan logic to figure this one out for yourselves.