Trouble In Louisville, Kentucky, As SURVEYUSA Poll Has John Yarmuth Leading Anne Northup By Seventeen (17%) Percentage Points.

Read the poll here.

In the poll, (Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District 06/06/08 - 06/08/08. Of the adults, 819 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 646 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election), Congressman John Yarmuth leads former Congresswoman, Anne Northup, 57% to 40%, with ONLY 3% of the voters undecided.

Pay attention to ideology; more Liberals support John Yarmuth than Conservatives who support Anne Northup, while Independents are evenly split amongst the two of them (this is a group that Anne Northup should be winning).

Also as many of you may recall, when John Yarmuth endorsed Barack Obama, I suggested RHETORICALLY that he was courting Black votes.

Well, his courting has paid off (as I knew it would) and he NOW has the support of 82% of Blacks compared to 16% for Anne Northup -- and this is a group that Anne Northup ought to be have in her corner, but supporting Barack Obama was more than just CHUTZPAH, but was also A VERY SMART MOVE FOR JOHN YARMUTH AS I EARLIER STATED.

Stay tuned as the elections are STILL 4 months away, though the poll had this to say:

Northup Starts Well Behind in Bid to Re-Take KY3 Seat From Yarmuth: In an election for the US House of Representatives from Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District today, 06/09/08, 148 days from the November general election, Democratic incumbent John Yarmuth defeats former Republican representative Anne Northup in a rematch of the 2006 KY3 election, according to this exclusive WHAS-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, it's Yarmuth 57%, Northup 40%. Northup runs 8 points weaker today than she did in 2006, when she lost to Yarmuth 51% to 48%. Yarmuth runs 6 points stronger than he did in 2006. In between 2006 and today, Northup run for Governor of Kentucky and lost in the GOP primary to then incumbent Ernie Fletcher. Today: Yarmuth leads among young and old, male and female, white and black. 15% of Republicans cross over and vote for Democrat Yarmuth; 16% of Democrats cross over and vote for Republican Northup. Independents split. Northup represented the district for 5 terms, first elected in 1996. In 2004, Northup won with 60% of the vote. The district is watched nationally as a barometer of how other districts may vote. In SurveyUSA's release today, 33% of likely voters are Republican, identical to the 33% who said they were Republican in SurveyUSA's final 2006 pre-election poll. But the number of likely voters who say they are Democrats is up from 54% in SurveyUSA's final 2006 pre-election poll to 60% today.

Update, 6/11: The Northup campaign confirms internal polling confirms SurveyUsa Poll's conclusion of her trailing, but suggest it is merely by 7% points.