**** Reports: Beshear still maintains a sizable (58% to 39%) lead over Fletcher. ****
According to Mark Hebert, who works for WHAS11, the TV station that conducts the SURVEYUSA poll, Beshear still leads Fletcher by double digits. I have NOT yet seen the survey results and I will post (and analyze it here when it becomes available), but here's Mark's report on it:
Steve Beshear still has a huge lead over Ernie Fletcher in the latest Survey USA/WHAS11 News poll released this morning.
Beshear has a 58%-39% lead over Fletcher, with just 2% undecided in the survey of likely Kentucky voters. The poll was conducted Sept. 8-10 and has a margin of error of 4.3%.
Beshear had a 21 point lead last month, so Fletcher has sliced a little off his lead. But with just 8 weeks until election day, Fletcher still trails by double digit margins in every area of the state. The one piece of good news for Fletcher is that he has made significant and statistical gains among voters 65 or older and is now tied with Beshear (49% apiece) among those "mature" voters. It seems clear that Fletcher's "Say No to Casinos" TV campaign has had virtually no impact on voters except those who are 65 or older. I'm still wondering what poll numbers Fletcher's folks have been looking at in deciding that the anti-gambling issue was a winner. The Survey USA polls have consistently shown more than 70% of Kentuckians say there should be a vote on expanding gaming. It's 79%-20% in this month's poll.
You can read more of his report, for now.
Also, as ALL of you should know by now, I am PARTIAL to the SURVEYUSA polling for I believe it to be the MOST accurate there is out there. (To view previous poll results, follow Poll tracker).Having made that CLEAR -- AGAIN --, I'll like to point out (for those who rely on other polls) that the average of the polls since AFTER the primary show Beshear at an average of 54.0% to Fletcher's 35.7%, a Beshear advantage of +18.3%.
Update: Here's the poll's pie chart. I am still waiting for the stats.
Steve Beshear still has a huge lead over Ernie Fletcher in the latest Survey USA/WHAS11 News poll released this morning.
Beshear has a 58%-39% lead over Fletcher, with just 2% undecided in the survey of likely Kentucky voters. The poll was conducted Sept. 8-10 and has a margin of error of 4.3%.
Beshear had a 21 point lead last month, so Fletcher has sliced a little off his lead. But with just 8 weeks until election day, Fletcher still trails by double digit margins in every area of the state. The one piece of good news for Fletcher is that he has made significant and statistical gains among voters 65 or older and is now tied with Beshear (49% apiece) among those "mature" voters. It seems clear that Fletcher's "Say No to Casinos" TV campaign has had virtually no impact on voters except those who are 65 or older. I'm still wondering what poll numbers Fletcher's folks have been looking at in deciding that the anti-gambling issue was a winner. The Survey USA polls have consistently shown more than 70% of Kentuckians say there should be a vote on expanding gaming. It's 79%-20% in this month's poll.
You can read more of his report, for now.
Also, as ALL of you should know by now, I am PARTIAL to the SURVEYUSA polling for I believe it to be the MOST accurate there is out there. (To view previous poll results, follow Poll tracker).Having made that CLEAR -- AGAIN --, I'll like to point out (for those who rely on other polls) that the average of the polls since AFTER the primary show Beshear at an average of 54.0% to Fletcher's 35.7%, a Beshear advantage of +18.3%.
Update: Here's the poll's pie chart. I am still waiting for the stats.
Labels: Polling
posted by KYJurisDoctor at 11:56 AM
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